Trump Wants to Pick Off Nevada. But Biden Is Holding a Lead, Our Poll Shows.

Joseph R. Biden Jr. has a steady lead over President Trump in Nevada, a state that has been shading blue in recent elections but that Mr. Trump is hoping to flip, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released on Tuesday.

Mr. Biden, the Democratic nominee, leads Mr. Trump 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in Nevada, with 4 percent undecided or declining to state a preference. The poll was taken after the presidential debate last week, one of Mr. Trump’s last opportunities to change the trajectory of the race.

The results are virtually unchanged from another Times/Siena poll in the state conducted this month after Mr. Trump announced he had tested positive for the coronavirus, which found Mr. Biden leading Mr. Trump 48 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.

With just a week until Election Day and little time for Mr. Trump to make up any ground, the results underscore the challenges he faces in diverse battleground states that once seemed attainable, if not downright winnable, for an incumbent Republican president. Polls have also shown Mr. Trump trailing Mr. Biden in neighboring Arizona, a state that has not voted for a Democrat for president since 1996.

Nevada has been hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic, which could be a wild card in the election. There have been more than 96,000 cases in the state so far, and more than 1,750 deaths, according to a New York Times database. The pandemic has hammered the state’s economy, which relies heavily on the tourism industry, causing unemployment to soar to one of the highest rates in the country; in September, it stood at about 13 percent, disproportionately affecting Latinos and working-class union voters, who are a large part of the Democratic Party’s base in the state.

Keep up with Election 2020

Some Democratic strategists are now bracing for the possibility that a significant number of would-be Democratic voters must contend with more immediate concerns, including feeding their families, than casting a ballot.

Mr. Trump has continued to fight for Nevada, visiting the state twice since securing the Republican nomination for re-election; on Wednesday, he is planning to hold a rally just across the border in Bullhead City, Ariz. In September, the Cook Political Report shifted its assessment of the Nevada race in Mr. Trump’s direction, from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.”

But Mr. Biden’s polling lead underscores the shifting dynamics of a consummate swing state that has taken on a Democratic tilt. Hillary Clinton won the state in 2016 by just over two percentage points, 10 points less than Barack Obama’s margin of victory in 2008. But in 2018, the state elected Senator Jacky Rosen, a Democrat, who ousted the Republican incumbent Dean Heller; and Gov. Steve Sisolak, the first Democrat to lead the state since 1999.

Mr. Biden is being buoyed by Hispanic voters, young voters and women, and trailing Mr. Trump among white voters without college degrees, the survey showed. Among Hispanic voters, who make up about 20 percent of eligible voters in the state, Mr. Biden held a commanding lead over Mr. Trump, 59 percent to 30 percent.

And among voters over 65 — a key demographic in sun-rich Nevada — Mr. Biden had a slight edge against Mr. Trump, with 51 percent support to the president’s 45 percent, reflecting Mr. Biden’s support nationally among the crucial, traditionally right-leaning voting bloc.

The poll, which was conducted by phone from Oct. 23 to Oct. 26 among 809 likely voters, had a margin of sampling error of roughly plus or minus four percentage points.

A strong aversion to Mr. Trump is helping to drive Mr. Biden’s support. Forty-three percent of respondents in the survey said they had a very unfavorable view of the president, including 55 percent of nonwhite voters. Just over half of all respondents said they had a favorable view of Mr. Biden.

“I’d rather have anybody in the world except for Trump as president,” said William Watts, 69, a retiree who lives in the northwest part of Las Vegas. “In my personal opinion, Trump has been a con artist since Day 1. He’s been a poor businessman. He’s been a marketing person — he just knows how to market himself.”

Lorenzo Creighton, 67, a semiretired former casino executive from Las Vegas, said voting for Mr. Biden was “a way to correct the problem — the experiment gone wrong — that is Donald Trump.”

“Joe Biden is a pretty solid performer,” said Mr. Creighton, an independent. “We know what his record is, and we know what kind of person he is.”

But Christopher Love, 44, said he had already voted for Mr. Trump because “I appreciate a person who just says what’s on their mind.”

Mr. Love, a general manager and a Republican, said he voted for Mrs. Clinton in 2016 because of her support for L.G.B.T.Q. people. But he said he believed that Mr. Trump supported same-sex marriage rights.

The survey results showed that voters in Nevada were roughly evenly split on how they viewed the candidates’ performances in the second and final presidential debate on Thursday, with 39 percent saying that Mr. Biden had won, compared with 35 percent for Mr. Trump.

Officials began mailing ballots to all registered voters on Sept. 24 in Nevada, where in 2016, nearly 70 percent of all votes were cast before Election Day. So far, 668,000 people have voted early, either by absentee ballot or in person at polling places.

Here are the cross tabs for the poll.

Source link

82 thoughts on “Trump Wants to Pick Off Nevada. But Biden Is Holding a Lead, Our Poll Shows.

  1. I just want to mention I am just new to blogging and site-building and absolutely savored you’re blog. Very likely I’m likely to bookmark your blog . You really come with fabulous articles. Thanks a bunch for revealing your website.

  2. I must express my admiration for your kind-heartedness giving support to those individuals that have the need for help with this important matter. Your very own commitment to getting the solution across appeared to be extraordinarily good and have without exception encouraged girls like me to get to their targets. Your personal interesting publication entails a lot to me and substantially more to my colleagues. Thanks a ton; from everyone of us.

  3. Thank you for the sensible critique. Me & my neighbor were just preparing to do some research on this. We got a grab a book from our area library but I think I learned more clear from this post. I am very glad to see such excellent information being shared freely out there.

  4. I simply want to say I’m newbie to blogs and truly loved this web-site. Most likely I’m likely to bookmark your website . You certainly have perfect posts. Many thanks for revealing your website page.

  5. This is very fascinating, You’re an excessively skilled blogger. I’ve joined your rss feed and stay up for looking for extra of your fantastic post. Additionally, I have shared your site in my social networks!

  6. I’m not that much of a internet reader to be honest but your blogs really nice, keep it up! I’ll go ahead and bookmark your site to come back later. Cheers

  7. I have been exploring for a little bit for any high-quality articles or blog posts in this kind of house . Exploring in Yahoo I ultimately stumbled upon this website. Reading this info So i am satisfied to show that I’ve a very excellent uncanny feeling I came upon exactly what I needed. I such a lot undoubtedly will make sure to do not overlook this site and provides it a look on a continuing basis.

  8. It’s in reality a great and useful piece of information. I’m glad that you shared this useful information with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thank you for sharing.

  9. There are some attention-grabbing points in time on this article but I don’t know if I see all of them heart to heart. There is some validity however I will take hold opinion until I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we would like extra! Added to FeedBurner as nicely

  10. I simply want to tell you that I’m very new to blogging and actually savored your web page. Most likely I’m planning to bookmark your blog . You really come with exceptional article content. Many thanks for revealing your web site.

  11. Needed to compose you this very small note so as to say thanks a lot as before regarding the pleasing opinions you have shared in this case. It is so tremendously generous of you giving publicly all that a lot of folks could possibly have advertised as an e-book in order to make some money on their own, precisely given that you could possibly have tried it in case you considered necessary. Those tips likewise acted to be a easy way to know that other people online have the identical dream much like my very own to learn many more on the topic of this matter. I am certain there are millions of more enjoyable moments ahead for folks who looked at your website.

  12. Great blog! Do you have any suggestions for aspiring writers? I’m hoping to start my own blog soon but I’m a little lost on everything. Would you suggest starting with a free platform like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many choices out there that I’m completely overwhelmed .. Any tips? Cheers!

  13. An impressive share! I have just forwarded this onto a co-worker who has been conducting a little research on this. And he actually bought me dinner simply because I stumbled upon it for him… lol. So let me reword this…. Thank YOU for the meal!! But yeah, thanks for spending some time to discuss this issue here on your site.

  14. Having read this I believed it was very enlightening. I appreciate you finding the time and energy to put judi sicbo this information together. I once again find myself personally spending a significant amount of time both reading and commenting

  15. Thanks for every other excellent post. The place else may just anyone get that type of info in such an ideal approach of writing? I have a presentation subsequent week, and I am on the look for such info.

  16. hello there and thank you in your information – I have definitely picked up anything new from proper here. I did alternatively expertise several technical issues the usage of this site, since I experienced to reload the website many instances prior to I may just get it to load properly. I were brooding about in case your hosting is OK? No longer that I’m complaining, however slow loading cases instances will sometimes impact your placement in google and can injury your high-quality rating if ads and ***********|advertising|advertising|advertising and *********** with Adwords. Well I’m adding this RSS to my email and can glance out for a lot more of your respective exciting content. Ensure that you update this once more soon..

  17. One more thing. I believe that there are a lot of travel insurance web sites of dependable companies than enable you to enter holiday details and have you the quotes. You can also purchase the particular international travel insurance policy on the net by using the credit card. All you should do is usually to enter the travel details and you can begin to see the plans side-by-side. You only need to find the program that suits your allowance and needs and use your bank credit card to buy that. Travel insurance on the internet is a good way to check for a trustworthy company with regard to international travel insurance. Thanks for revealing your ideas.

  18. I was very pleased to uncover this great site. I want to to thank you for ones time for this fantastic read!! I definitely really liked every little bit of it and i also have you bookmarked to see new information on your web site.

  19. I have to thank you for the efforts you have put in penning this website. I’m hoping to see the same high-grade blog posts from you later on as well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has motivated me to get my own website now 😉

  20. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do some research about this. We got a grab a book from our area library but I think I learned more from this post. I am very glad to see such magnificent information being shared freely out there.

  21. 4 פצצות מין, סקסיות ושופעות חזה, פוגשות 4 גברים שחורים. הבחורות יודעות בדיוק מה הן רוצות והן לא מבזבזות זמן וניגשות מייד לעבודה. הן מוצצות ומפנקות את הגברים אשר מתענגים מגופן ומהחזה השופע שלהן. הגברים מפנקים את הבחורות במגוון תנוחות אנאליות.
    נערות ליווי במרכז

  22. Can I simply say what a relief to uncover somebody who actually knows what they are talking about on the web. You actually understand how to bring an issue to light and make it important. More people need to check this out and understand this side of the story. It’s surprising you are not more popular because you certainly possess the gift.

  23. Hi, actually love the style of your web site. Would you mind telling me what theme you happen to be utilizing? I’m new to this and I’m hoping to get mine looking anywhere near as cool as yours. Thanks a great deal.

  24. Someone essentially help to make severely posts I would state. This is the very first time I frequented your web page and up to now? I amazed with the analysis you made to create this actual put up extraordinary. Great job!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *